This morning, the Washington Post covered an important speech by colleague and Climate Action Initiative Chair Dr. Bob Corell, with the headline “New Analysis Brings Dire Forecast of 6.3-Degree Temperature Increase.” Front page on website yesterday and page three in print this morning. They even included a clear graph from C-ROADS!
We look at the same graph results from C-ROADS, posted here, and could offer a complementary interpretation. Headline could be “New Analysis Shows Growing Commitment to a Global Deal Will Help Stabilize Climate.”
Following the “current proposals” path is much better than “business as usual” path. Many countries have offered concrete proposals, others (like China — read here) are looking more encouraging, and the results add up. About 3100 gigatons of CO2e would be kept out of the atmosphere between now and the end of the century, resulting in CO2 levels 239 ppm lower and the world a full degree C cooler by 2100 (3.5 degrees C vs. 4.5).
Yes, we have a long way to go (particularly here in the United States, where I am writing and emitting CO2 as I type) — just look at the remaining gap between “Current Proposals” and “2 degree path” — and get to improve proposals more and more in coming months. But we have got some good momentum to build upon and have come a long way.
For all the information on our reporting of the “state of the global climate deal,” check out our new space on the Climate Interactive website. We’ll be tracking new proposals to COP-15, updating our tables and graphs, and sharing the results via various media.
The story is posted here and pasted below.