This project was concluded in 2016.
Climate Interactive, together with the Internal Displacement Monitoring Center (IDMC), is building a livelihoods and displacement tool for the Horn of Africa. In the real world and in the simulation tool, when floods and droughts occur, pastoralists can lose their ability to pursue a viable pastoralist livelihood resulting in a phenomenon of displacement. Based on a system dynamics model, this interactive, real-time tool incorporates climate, environmental, economic and human variables, and can be used to:
- Simulate the impacts of droughts and floods on pasture quality/productivity and livestock health, and measures the knock-on effects on pastoralist livelihoods;
- Assess the scale and patterns of internal and cross-border displacement associated with past droughts in this region;
- Prepare for humanitarian responses prior to forecasted droughts or floods; and
- Evaluate scenarios of climate change impacts, as well as humanitarian and development interventions, on pastoralist income, food security, displacement and resilience.